What can Israel, US do to deter Houthis from restarting naval attacks? - analysis

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said he believes that Israel is threatening to widen the war throughout the region.

 The Houthis  (photo credit: REUTERS/KHALED ABDULLAH)
The Houthis
(photo credit: REUTERS/KHALED ABDULLAH)

The Iran-backed Houthis have been issuing more statements in recent days, threatening to resume their attacks on Israel. These could include strikes against shipping or firing long-range missiles and drones.

The Houthis changed their tactics over the past year and a half, and they have an array of weapons.

The Houthis have not been deterred in the past. In fact, several rounds of IAF long-range airstrikes did not deter them from attacking Israel.

Even though the Houthis were not deterred, they might change their mind in the future based on how they view the Trump administration and their sense of what might happen if they continue to attack ships. For now, they are only threatening, but they are indicating that they could renew the attacks soon.

Warning of regional war

Meanwhile, the Iranians, who are backing the Houthis, continue to warn that a regional war could erupt. This comes as Qatar has also warned against attacks on Iran. Furthermore, Iran is conducting a naval drill with China and Russia.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi “says Iran will respond very strongly and in a fully proportionate and balanced manner if attacked,” Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), Iran’s official news agency, reported over the weekend. “[Araghchi] has warned that Israel is attempting to provoke a war in the region and involve its primary ally, the United States, in military conflict with the Islamic Republic.”

Araghchi made his comments in an interview in Saudi Arabia. Clearly, this is messaging for the region. Saudi Arabia is also concerned about a Houthi escalation.
 A MISSILE, which according to the Houthis is a ‘hypersonic’ projectile named Palestine 2 that was used in the attack on Israel this past Sunday, is shown at an unknown location. The Pentagon said a ballistic missile was indeed used in the attack. (credit: Houthi Military Media/Reuters)
A MISSILE, which according to the Houthis is a ‘hypersonic’ projectile named Palestine 2 that was used in the attack on Israel this past Sunday, is shown at an unknown location. The Pentagon said a ballistic missile was indeed used in the attack. (credit: Houthi Military Media/Reuters)

“I think that the threat of war against Iran is a threat that is just talked about,” IRNA quoted Araghchi as saying.

“Implementing this threat would be a very big danger and would turn into a widespread fire in the region.”
“I believe that if an attack on Iran were to take place, this attack could turn into a widespread fire in the region; not that we will do that,” he added. “It is Israel’s desire to involve the other countries in the region in a war.”

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“We have the ability to respond very strongly and in a fully proportionate and balanced manner,” Araghchi said. “The Israelis themselves know, and others in the region know, that any action taken against Iran will be followed by a similar action against Israel.”