Slim majority of Israeli public backs ongoing IDF op. in Gaza - poll

On the political front, the Democrats party continues to lose ground following remarks by its leader, Yair Golan, dropping four seats to 12.

 Military vehicles drive their way from the Israeli side of the Israel-Gaza border into Gaza, as seen from Israel, May 20, 2025.  (photo credit: REUTERS/AMIR COHEN)
Military vehicles drive their way from the Israeli side of the Israel-Gaza border into Gaza, as seen from Israel, May 20, 2025.
(photo credit: REUTERS/AMIR COHEN)

A slim majority of Israelis back ongoing military operations in Gaza, according to a Maariv poll published Friday. About half of the public (51%) supports continuing the fighting, while 39% oppose it and 10% remain undecided.

The poll, conducted by Lazar Research on May 21–22, surveyed 509 respondents representing a cross-section of Israeli adults.

Nearly all coalition voters (87%) favor continuing the Gaza operation, with 72% strongly supporting it. In contrast, 67% of opposition voters oppose further fighting.

When asked about the IDF’s conduct in Gaza, 43% believe the military is operating with appropriate strength, and 27% think the campaign is too weak. Fifteen percent feel the operation is too intense. 

Coalition supporters were more likely to say the fighting is too weak (37%), while opposition voters often viewed it as too intense (20%). A majority of Arab party voters (61%) also said the operation is too intense.

Smoke rises from Gaza following military activity, as seen from the Israeli side of the Israel-Gaza border, May 19, 2025.  (credit: REUTERS/Ronen Zvulun)
Smoke rises from Gaza following military activity, as seen from the Israeli side of the Israel-Gaza border, May 19, 2025. (credit: REUTERS/Ronen Zvulun)

On the political front, the Maariv poll shows no major shifts in the overall balance of power in the Knesset from the last poll conducted. The coalition holds 48 seats, while the opposition commands 62, excluding Arab parties.

Latest poll reveals shifting political landscape in Israel

If new elections were held today, Likud would receive 23 seats, Yisrael Beiteinu 19, National Unity 16, and Yesh Atid 15. The Democrats would hold 12 seats, while Otzma Yehudit and Shas would each secure nine seats. United Torah Judaism would have seven seats, Hadash–Ta’al six, and Ra’am four. Both Balad and Religious Zionism would fail to pass the electoral threshold.

In an alternate scenario where Naftali Bennett leads a new party, that faction would be the largest with 28 seats. Likud would fall to 20 seats, Yesh Atid and Yisrael Beiteinu would each have 11, while Shas and National Unity would hold nine seats apiece. Otzma Yehudit would secure eight seats, the Democrats and United Torah Judaism would each receive seven, Hadash–Ta’al six, and Ra’am four. Balad and Religious Zionism would remain below the threshold.

The margin of error for the poll is 4.4%.