American Ideology vs. Realpolitik: Iran, Syria and the Return of Russia (part 1)
For my readers, a Happy 5776th New Year!
There are times in writing that the material determines its own length. Such was the case in American Ideology! I have decided to divide it into two segments, the second to follow shortly after the first moves off the front page. DT
The president’s nuclear agreement with Iran is described as the result of two years effort as if the administration had not initiated the process soon after Obama entered office. But, then, two years sounds heroic while a six-year slough is far less inspiring. In fact even as Candidate Obama in 2008 he had broadcast his desire for the agreement, advance notice to the Iranians that he, more than they, was anxious for that outcome. Anybody entering an automobile showroom knows better!“Spring 2003: Iran makes a comprehensive proposal of negotiations with the United States that offers "full transparency for security that there are no Iranian endeavors to develop or possess WMD", joint decisive action against terrorists, coordination on a stable Iraq, coordination on nuclear matters, stop of any material support to Palestinian opposition groups (Hamas, Jihad etc.) resisting Israeli occupation, and a normalization of relationships. The offer is spurned by V.P. Cheney and the Bush administration, which instead criticizes the Swiss ambassador who forwarded the offer.”
It was likely the same hubris that inspired the decision to invade Iraq that colored the administration’s rejection of the 2003 offer. According to the CIA Iran had stopped work on it’s nuclear program for a period of time in 2003, which, with much exaggeration, became the centerpiece of the WH-serving 2007 National Intelligence Estimate on Iran. According to the NIE the combined wisdom of America’s “independent” intelligence agencies, “judged with high confidence that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program… We assess with high confidence that until fall 2003, Iranian military entities were working under government direction to develop nuclear weapons.”“The NIE didn’t just undermine diplomacy. It also tied my hands on the military side…. [A]fter the NIE, how could I possibly explain using the military to destroy the nuclear facilities of a country the intelligence community said had no active nuclear weapons program?”
By all evidence, beginning with Bush’s defense secretary Robert Gates repeated warnings against the “military option,” having failed in Iraq and failing in Afghanistan neither the administration nor the military were eager to get involve in yet another regional military adventure. Cheney protested, Bush complained and in the end the Iranian bomb was left to Bush’s successor.Obama and the Bomb